Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 13.029275 14.564140 16.224149 18.155628 20.344606 22.752275 25.606366
2025-06-08 10.762785 12.815367 15.194832 18.167657 21.797075 26.102493 31.624097
2025-06-15 9.358774 11.787700 14.783869 18.776894 23.996942 30.640976 39.820422
2025-06-22 7.959503 10.538854 13.902307 18.654729 25.269353 34.256712 47.575044
2025-06-29 6.752806 9.350617 12.912034 18.219591 26.045973 37.347261 55.240740
2025-07-06 5.855017 8.446479 12.166530 17.991809 27.059822 40.932381 64.339211
2025-07-13 5.333150 8.000957 12.003743 18.580059 29.375095 46.861015 78.306211
2025-07-20 4.892293 7.611037 11.861793 19.168003 31.780578 53.361076 94.645916
2025-07-27 4.452385 7.159669 11.555089 19.431320 33.680476 59.349509 111.431321
2025-08-03 3.989277 6.607876 11.005855 19.189860 34.643629 63.835753 126.403502
2025-08-10 3.582050 6.097637 10.457189 18.860177 35.378427 68.015304 141.732681
2025-08-17 3.242752 5.663319 9.983874 18.594031 36.181629 72.466211 158.707283
2025-08-24 2.953857 5.292494 9.592145 18.453738 37.274429 77.859735 179.542273
2025-08-31 2.711337 4.978778 9.268040 18.401231 38.551066 83.936142 203.758312
2025-09-07 2.565979 4.832224 9.246967 18.970668 41.292915 93.929056 240.856790
2025-09-14 2.360843 4.544609 8.909181 18.812330 42.359909 100.201208 269.966820
2025-09-21 2.150660 4.223220 8.463224 18.348633 42.626291 104.560800 295.069435
2025-09-28 1.983756 3.972148 8.134183 18.101593 43.379271 110.351539 326.339291
2025-10-05 1.901067 3.888765 8.155395 18.680716 46.343336 122.806692 382.958584
2025-10-12 1.824490 3.809752 8.176107 19.262372 49.434811 136.392866 448.443942
2025-10-19 1.730991 3.683110 8.073322 19.519909 51.697310 148.119029 511.947832
2025-10-26 1.612915 3.488746 7.790608 19.272080 52.485617 155.530503 562.315719
2025-11-02 1.500579 3.296324 7.491066 18.937176 52.963600 162.100763 612.141432